Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.254232 1.414197 1.588944 1.794363 2.029676 2.291329 2.605026
2026-01-18 1.030475 1.246302 1.501056 1.825385 2.229347 2.718550 3.359833
2026-01-25 0.856219 1.094995 1.394887 1.802280 2.346004 3.053283 4.053750
2026-02-01 0.711765 0.952460 1.270485 1.726323 2.370913 3.261782 4.607139
2026-02-08 0.611663 0.850823 1.180882 1.676513 2.413801 3.488989 5.210857
2026-02-15 0.537455 0.773370 1.111655 1.641054 2.465115 3.726585 5.858128
2026-02-22 0.500249 0.743308 1.104756 1.693247 2.650348 4.186481 6.923153
2026-03-01 0.460795 0.704450 1.078715 1.710108 2.778505 4.568875 7.917778
2026-03-08 0.415780 0.651580 1.024179 1.672709 2.809322 4.788793 8.657605
2026-03-15 0.376360 0.603302 0.971324 1.630600 2.824289 4.979293 9.369017
2026-03-22 0.362800 0.595788 0.984259 1.702101 3.048553 5.576732 10.966685
2026-03-29 0.347016 0.582716 0.985943 1.752898 3.239876 6.137370 12.588603
2026-04-05 0.328805 0.564880 0.979550 1.792163 3.422793 6.725912 14.425034
2026-04-12 0.309451 0.543245 0.964339 1.813417 3.574523 7.278560 16.307553
2026-04-19 0.285665 0.511245 0.926759 1.786345 3.623379 7.621571 17.776601
2026-04-26 0.258370 0.470165 0.867944 1.709427 3.555489 7.696231 18.604172
2026-05-03 0.237141 0.438707 0.824643 1.659443 3.539491 7.886336 19.768864
2026-05-10 0.219683 0.412999 0.790183 1.624082 3.551331 8.143502 21.169791
2026-05-17 0.212769 0.407433 0.795557 1.675540 3.771214 8.943113 24.265909
2026-05-24 0.202968 0.395146 0.785857 1.692146 3.910179 9.562847 26.996035
2026-05-31 0.189138 0.373414 0.754306 1.655157 3.911992 9.824891 28.706642
2026-06-07 0.176120 0.352330 0.722282 1.613527 3.896491 10.038254 30.319476
2026-06-14 0.173280 0.352574 0.736642 1.684191 4.182496 11.139966 35.151248